Sunday, October 28, 2018
Trading for Amari Cooper gives the Dallas Cowboys a fighting chance to make the playoffs
NFL teams can improve themselves through the draft, free agency or trades. The draft provides a team with its foundation. Players taken in the first through three rounds need to be walk in starters. They need to start immediately. Players taken in rounds 4 through 7 can become rotational players or special teams players.
Teams have to manage their salary cap in order to be able to re sign their best players or sign players from another team. Free agents are sometimes paid for what they have done, rather than for what they will do. Free agents often do not live up their billing. However, the right free agent can often a make a difference for the right team or for a team on the cusp of a championship.
Rarely do teams make trades. The salary cap and the fact that teams only play 16 games makes it difficult to acquire players in the middle of the year. It often takes a while to bring a player up to speed on a new team. It takes time for players to adjust to new offensive systems or defensive schemes.
Recently the Dallas Cowboys traded a first round pick or the Oakland Raiders for wide receiver Amari Cooper. Some believe that the Cowboys should not have given up a first round pick, while others believe that Cooper is worth a first round selection.
Entering this season, the Cowboys were unable to sign a number one receiver. They made an offer for Sammy Watkins, but Watkins chose to sign with Kansas City instead. They were able to sign Allen Hurns an Deonte Thompson, who are decent receivers, but not real difference makers.
The Cowboys decided to part ways with Dez Bryant, who had spent 8 years with the team. Although, Bryant was being paid like a number one receiver, he was no longer playing like one. Bryant was still the team’s best receiver, but was no longer worth the salary he was receiving.So, Dallas decided to move on.
Cooper is a true number one receiver. In his first three and half seasons, he has two 1,000yard seasons. He has made the pro bowl twice so far. He is so one who defenses will have to account for.
At 24 years of age, he is only 6 months older than rookie receiver Calvin Ridley.chancesa re Dallas would have drafted a receiver in the first round. Cooper is as good as or better than someone the Cowboys would have drafted. So, while it’s tough trading. A first round pick, Cooper may be the equivalent of a first round selection.
Cooper will immediately help the offense. He may demand a double team, which should present Cole Beasley with more opportunities in the slot. It also may give more opportunities to Michael Gallup on the outside.
Additionally, Cooper’s presence may help the running game. Instead of keeping an extra man at the line of scrimmage to stop Ezekiel Elliott, teams may have to move a safety over to double team Cooper. So, cooper should have a positive effect upon other members of the offense.
Cooper is under contract for next year as well. So, the Cowboys have a year and a half to decide whether or not they want to resign him. They have a year and a half to see if he can help for the long haul.
Cooper’s presence on the team also allows the Cowboys to further evaluate quarterback Dak Prescott. They can see if he can be a franchise quarterback. Since Prescott's impressive rookie season, he has went 12-11 as a starter. In a quarterback driven league, Prescott struggles to throw for more than 200 yards. A quarterback cannot be evaluated on statistics alone, however, passing yards can be an indication of a quarterback's ability to move the team down the field. If Prescott cannot move the Cowboys down the field better after the trade for Cooper, then the Cowboys must face the possibility that he is not the long term answer at the quarterback position.
Cooper should also help Ezekiel Elliott and the running game. If Cooper can draw the double team, then defenses will not be able to keep an extra man in the box to try and stop the Cowboys' running game. This could strengthen the Cowboys' running game.
The Cowboys have made trades for receivers in the past that have not worked out. Dallas gave up draft picks for Joey Galloway in 2000 and they gave up draft picks for Roy Williams in 2008. Galloway got injured in the first game that he played for Dallas. Williams simply was not as good as he had been with the Detroit Lions. Galloway was 29 and Williams was 27. However, Cooper is only 24 and could return to the pro bowl form that he displayed with Oakland in his first two seasons.
This trade makes sense for the Cowboys. Even though they are only 3-4, the NFC East is winnable. Their defense is playing well, and they have a good running game. They have a young quarterback with potential, who should benefit from a true number one receiver. The Cowboys would have likely drafted a wide receiver in the first round in the off season anyway, so this trade makes sense and helps the team immediately.
The trade gives the Cowboys hope for the rest of the season. The trade gives them a fighting chance to make the playoffs.
Thursday, October 25, 2018
In the book "Toughness- Developing True Strength on and off the court", Jay Bilas writes about how a basketball player can develop toughness. He discusses how toughness can help him become a member of a winning team. The book embodies the essence of being a good and successful basketball player. It expresses the importance of mental toughness and the strength of character that is needed to be a successful athlete.
In the introduction, Bilas discusses toughness in general terms. He mentions that he values the toughness that he sees in others in their everyday life. He gives credit to his parents and other adults that he saw toughness in when he was growing up. He says that when he played for Coach Mike Krzyzewski at Duke that he really began to appreciate toughness.
He says the word "toughness" is often used in society and sports today. He cites examples of false bravado showed by athletes who taunt their opponent after a basket as examples of what toughness is not. He says that some broadcasters and commentators misuse the word often.
Bilas refers to an article that he wrote in 2009 which gave examples of toughness for college basketball players. Bilas says "The response to my article on toughness was overwhelming and humbling. Hundreds of coaches, players, parents, teachers and administrators from all over the world, from the NBA to the military to the elementary school level, called and wrote me to tell me they had posted the article in their locker room, handed it out to their teams, studied it in class or gone over it in detail with their players, teams, families or coworkers." Clearly, Bilas' article made a difference in many lives- especially the lives of those who love basketball. The article gives good examples of how to be a tough basketball player. It is easy to see why it became so popular.
Bilas also mentions a game that his son played in. Bilas said that his son's high school team was just as talented as the team that they played against. However, the other team won the game by 20 points. Bilas said that the other team was tougher and played better. They did the things that they needed to do to win. Often in sports, the team that does what is necessary throughout the game, is the team that wins. When two evenly matched teams play against each other, the team that is mentally tougher and more focused on the fundamentals often wins.
Bilas says that he always thought he was tough. He was tough up to a point, but he needed to get tougher. Over time, Bilas developed a more precise definition of toughness. Bilas says "Toughness isn't physical. It has nothing to do with size, physical strength or athleticism. It's an intangible, an attitude, a philosophy. Some people may be born with the aptitude to be tougher than others, but I believe that true toughness is a skill that an be developed and improved in everyone." Bilas believes that toughness is a skill that can be cultivated in all people. His hopeful and optimistic attitude is good news for all of us.
Bilas refers to the dictionary definition of toughness. Bilas says "The most common definition of 'tough' is being able to withstand great force without tearing or breaking. In other words, something that is tough is strong and resilient." Strength and resiliency is necessary for any undertaking. It is an important part of human development. Toughness is available to and important for everyone.
Bilas says that his parents are the foundation of his toughness. Bilas says "Whatever toughness I have been able to muster as an athlete, attorney, broadcaster and person, I learned first by the example set by my mother and father." Bilas gratitude towards his parents is something all of us probably have to our parents as well. We have learned many things from our parents. We have probably learned toughness from them. I have learned many good things from my parents, including toughness and strength. Like Bilas, we probably admire our parents for their toughness and courage.
Chapter one is entitled "Trust." Bilas says "It requires a certain toughness to trust in others and to trust and believe in yourself." Bilas points out that trust and truth go together. He cites coach Mike Kryzewski as an honest person who inspires trust. Bilas chose to play for Duke in part because he wanted to play for Coach Kryzewski, who is known in college basketball as "Coach K." Bilas says "Coach K was the first coach I truly trusted. I had a few good coaches growing up, but once I became a sophomore in high school, I felt that I couldn't trust the coaches I played for. They were not bad people, but they did not foster a culture of trust. When it came time for me to go to college, it was the first time in my life that I got to choose the coach I played for. And playing for a coach I could trust was my most important consideration." Bilas soon realized that he could trust Coach K. Bilas found Coach K to be an honest person, which helped Bilas to trust him.
Bilas says that "trust" has different elements to it. Bilas mentions the importance of having a belief in a common goal, believing in oneself and having belief when we face adversity. Bilas cites different examples to support the importance of these things.
Chapter two deals with "preparation." Bilas says "One of the things I take pride in is being prepared. In my job as a trial lawyer and as a broadcaster, I take meticulous care in preparing my cases and for games and studio appearances. My preparation leads to my confidence, and allows me to react quickly under pressure." Clearly, Bilas has tried to prepare himself for his challenges as a lawyer and a broadcaster. Being prepared has helped him to do those two jobs.
Bilas also cites his father's preparedness as a major influence on him. Bilas says "I look back on the things my father told me about preparation and concentration, and everything he told me was right. My father never went to work unprepared. When he was working on a project, he had it planned out, and had a contingency plan for things he expected might go wrong. He never left things to chance." Clearly his father's influence made a big difference on Bilas' life. He was influenced in a positive way by his dad.
Bilas says that preparation involves different elements. Among other things, Bilas mentions the need to concentrate on what we are doing when we are doing it; taking one step at a time; that everything that we do is important; the importance of having goals and destinations; and that the season can be broken down into segments. All of these elements can be applied to everyday life as well.
In chapter three, Bilas deals with courage. Bilas says "Everyone has to deal with fear and doubt. Yet I often hear commentary in sports indicating that some players are fearless. Nobody is fearless. However, tough people face their fears and doubts head-on, and they overcome them so they can function at the highest level without the fear and doubt inhibiting their ability to perform at their best. Embracing fear and using it to push yourself to get better takes courage. To me, courage isn't the absence of fear or doubt. Rather courage is overcoming it." Bilas acknowledges that fear is a part of life and of sports. However, Bilas believes that people can overcome fear with courage.
Courage is an individual virtue. However, it does not exist in a vacuum. The group of people around us and the team that an athlete plays for can help a person to develop courage. Bilas says "Having been around team sports all of my life, I have learned that confidence and courage, the kind needed to play without fear or doubt, are most often derived from the strength of your group. Mike Krzyzewski has said 'You are not tough alone.' Similarly, you are not courageous alone." So, Bilas understands that those around us can help us to develop courage. Family, friends and teammates can hep us to develop confidence and courage.
In chapter four, Bilas addresses the importance of communication. Bilas says "Communication is a vital element in true toughness, and it is a vital element in any good relationship. When communication is built on trust, true toughness can emerge. That lesson has been best illuminated for me through basketball." Through being an unselfish member of a team, one can learn how to communicate better and develop toughness.
Bilas says that it is especially important to communicate when playing defense. Bilas says "Talk is essential to a winning team's confidence. Communicating is about connecting and being connected. It is about trust and commitment. On defense, when on teammate is guarding the player with the ball, it is important for all other teammates, or help defenders to 'play the ball' and talk to their teammates guarding the ball." So, this communication helps the team to win and compete at a high level.
Bilas continues by saying "Communication in basketball, or any endeavor, is about trust and honest, and good communication requires toughness. To be a great communicator, you must be tough enough to say tough things to your teammates when it is necessary, and to hear tough things from your teammates when they believe it is necessary." So, communication requires give and take. It requires listening and speaking. It requires growth as a person and as a player. A player has to be willing to develop as a person and as a teammate.
At the end of the chapter, Bilas says "Great communication provides the foundation for coaches and players to be accountable to one another, and to trust one another. Great communication fosters better toughness. The better you communicate, including listening to others and yourself, the tougher you will be. So, Bilas sees a direct correlation between communication and toughness.
Bilas addresses "persistence" in chapter 5. Bilas says "When I asked Mike Krzyzewski what element of toughness he felt was underemphasized, he had a quick and direct response: persistence. Persistence is your ability to keep going without giving up or giving in. If you can be persistent in your belief, preparation, communication, your willingness to endure, and all of the other elements of mental toughness, you will be tougher. Persistence is a mind-set." Persistence goes with perseverance and effort. Persistence is seen over the the long haul. It is evident in someone who believes in a cause and does not waver. Persistence is seen in an athlete who does not give up during the course of a game or a season. Persistence is necessary for a basketball player.
Bilas cites, Mark Alarie, one of his teammates at Duke, as an example of someone who has shown persistence. He said that the players at Duke had to "run the mile for time as a team." He said that he and Alarie tried to beat each other's time. They both trained hard for the team competition and for their own competition between each other. Alarie had a faster time. Bilas asked Alarie how he ran faster than him. Alarie said 'For me, the mile run is about how much pain I'm willing to endure.' Bilas said that Alarie's attitude made him tough and helped him to persevere. Sometimes in life and in sports, we have to be willing to endure sacrifice and hardship. This becomes one measure of how tough we are in sports and in life. Alarie's toughness impressed Bilas.
Bilas also refers to ESPN colleague Sage Steele when talking about toughness. He discussed the beginning of Steele's career when she was not making much money. She worked up the courage to ask her boss for a $1,500 raise for the upcoming year. Instead of asking her family for money, she had the courage to ask her boss for a raise. The boss refused the request, and it hurt Steele. However, Steele said 'It really toughened me up... I had support at home to help me be tougher. My dad challenged me to be tougher, and I responded. I'm proud of that.' Her rejection made her a stronger person and a better journalist. She did not give up or give in. She persevered and became one of the best sports television journalist in the United States. Steele has a lot to be proud of. Her toughness helped her to overcome rejection.
According to Bilas, part of persistence is "pushing limits." Bilas says "Persistence is not just about pushing forward; it is about pushing through to reach a new height, exceeding a new limit you thought you had. Everybody limits themselves in some way, whether it is to manage expectations and avoid disappointment, or to avoid the physical pain and discomfort that accompanies the reach for a new limit, a higher standard." Bilas cited Michelle Akers, a former soccer player on the United States National women's soccer team as an example of someone willing to push limits. Bilas says "Akers suffered from chronic fatigue syndrome and finished every game and practice absolutely exhausted, often requiring intravenous fluids. Akers understood playing in pain and fighting through real fatigue." Akers deserves much credit for her persistence and perseverance. She deserves much respect for her courage and tenacity.
Bilas says that stepping out of our comfort zone is also a part of persistence. Bilas says that her mother encouraged him to step outside of his comfort zone and challenge himself. Her advice and encouragement made a big difference in his life. She saw his potential and wanted him to reach his potential. She explained to him that life would deal him many challenges. She explained to him that he needed to overcome his struggles and difficulties.
His mother also encouraged him to take "elective classes in public speaking and drama in high school." Through those classes, he was introduced to a drama teacher that made a difference in his life.
Chapter 6 is entitled "Next Play." Bilas says that when players make a mistake on the court, they have to put it behind them and focus on the next play. Bilas says "Coach K taught us early on that basketball is a fast-paced, continuous game in which there are no built-in natural breaks in the action like there are in baseball and football. In basketball, players must convert with speed and alertness. In basketball, every player on the floor is required to play offense and defense, and to do so without a break. Because the game is so fast paced and converts so quickly, it requires extraordinary concentration. Coach K's use of the concept of 'next play' is really a prompt to focus players on the present, rather than dwelling upon what just happened. It's a prompt to concentrate on what's truly important - the next play in the game." Coach K's belief in the 'next play' helps players to focus on their responsibilities at each point in the game. The idea of the 'next play' makes it more difficult to dwell on mistakes and inclines a player to meet the next challenge of the game.
Obviously, the concept of the "next play" is applicable in life, too. We do our best everyday at our jobs and in our lives. We focus on the present moment and the current challenge that we are facing.
In chapter 7, Bilas deals with "commitment." Bilas thanks his dad for teaching him about commitment. Bilas says "My father taught me everything I needed to know about commitment. He owned his own business, and he showed up for work every single day. It takes toughness to show up every day, but he didn't stop at showing up. My father was commited to his work, and he embraced it. When he had a job to do, he never shied away from doing it, and he never put if off until later. When there was something to be done, he did it right the first time." Clearly, Bilas' dad made a strong impression on him. He made him a tougher and more committed person.
When discussing commitment, Bilas says it is important to have more than talent. He says that talent needs to be supplemented by toughness. Bilas says "Talent is important. You have to have some talent to be successful in any endeavor. But talent is simply not enough...Nobody can make it on talent alone. But when you combine talent with toughness, you have a winner in anything." Bilas cited his experience playing in Italy to illustrate his point. He pointed out how difficult the fans were for road games and how inconsistent the officiating was. Everything seemed stacked against the road teams. Bilas says "The truth is, it was on the road that you found out just how tough you were, individually and collectively. I had played in some very difficult environments in college, but nothing like what I faced in Italy. Some of those arenas could scare you." Playing in Europe make Bilas stronger as a player and as a person. The difficult circumstances surrounding road games made Bilas a tougher player and person.
Bilas cites Tom Crean ,current coach at the University of Georgia, has someone who makes his players tougher. Crean has players go through a drill called "50-50." This drill involves a "loose ball that is up for grabs." In this drill, both teams fight for the possession of the basketball. Bilas says "When Crean sees that his team has the mental capacity to get 50-50 balls, then he knows they are ready for their best competition." Crean uses the "50-50" drill as a benchmark to measure his team's toughness.
Doris Burke is someone who Bilas respects for her toughness and commitment. Bilas says "Of all the people I have worked with, there is nobody I respect and admire more than Doris Burke. She is a remarkable and selfless teammate." Bilas admires her preparation as a broadcaster. He respects her efforts to overcome criticism and doubt. Bilas also points out that Burke does not get too high from praise or too low from criticism. She remains even keel and focused on her job and responsibilities. Bilas also points out that Burke values "real life toughness" more than "on court toughness."
Bilas discusses "acceptance" in chapter 8. Bilas points out that he was a role player for Duke. Bilas writes that he was one of the best players coming out of California when he was a high school senior. However, he soon realized that there were better players at Duke. There were a few players just as good or better than Bilas. Therefore, he became a role player. Bilas points out that every player is a role player because he or she must be a good teammate. Every player has a limited role on the team. No player can do everything. Bilas says "The truth was, and still is, that no role on that team was any more important than any other role...we all needed to be stars in our roles for our team to be truly successful. And we all needed to be great teammates to accept and embrace our roles." Bilas understands that each player is in a similar position. Each player must adapt to his or her role. Each player must become part of a larger group of players who have a common goal. Acceptance of one's role is a sign of toughness.
One feature of acceptance is dealing with expectations. Bilas points out that many teams and players want to be champions, but they do not want the burden of being the favorite or the team expected to win. Player and teams would rather be the underdog who unexpectedly beats the favorite or the best team. He points out that Coach K did not mind when Duke was ranked number one. Bilas says "Coach K conditioned us to embrace the challenge and responsibility of being number one and warned us that we would see the best shot from every opponent." Coach K did not mind the challenge of being number one. This is an example of toughness.
According to Bilas, one part of acceptance is being a part of a team. Bilas emphasized the importance of working as a team. Bilas says "I always get back to basketball as the best example of what it takes to be tough together, in large measure because I believe basketball is the ultimate team sport. To get a good shot in basketball, you have to work hard, individually and collectively. An 'easy' shot usually comes from having worked your tail off to get it. Easy shots are hard to get, and very few players can get an easy shot by themselves. It takes a team working together to get a great shot. And it is not your shot or my shot- it is our shot." Teammates work together to put themselves in position to win. Accepting one's role on a team in an attempt to strengthen the team is part of toughness.
Furthermore, Bilas points out that "You're not tough alone, and you don't win or lose alone." All of the players on a team are working together towards a common goal. Together teammates make each other tougher and better. One person's toughness can help another player become tougher. One may say that toughness is contagious. Bilas says "Toughness isn't just about you, but about being tough enough to step outside of your own self-interest and help a teammate. Are you tough enough to help a teammate, even if you are competing against that teammate for playing time or a bigger role on the team?" Acceptance of one's role leads players to help each other on the court. Acceptance of one's role inclines players to work together for the good of the team.
Chapter 9 is entitled "Resilience." Bilas says "The ability to come back, to fight adversity or difficulties, is a measure of true toughness. Every athlete and every person has to face difficulties, and to address them honestly and head-on, and to overcome them takes resilience, a major part of toughness." Resilience is not easy, but necessary in life and in sports. It helps a person to become stronger.
Bilas said that when he had to play center for Duke, he had to guard players who were bigger than him. So, he tried to get stronger in order to successfully cover these players. He said that he committed to weight lifting plan. He also spent time in between his sophomore and junior year rehabilitating his knee. His attempt to reach new levels in weight training taught him about resilience and dealing with challenges.
Bilas also makes the distinction between "tough" and "foolish." Bilas discussed his ability to play through the pain that was in his right knee. He did not talk about his pain or tell his teammates what he was going through. Eventually, a doctor told Bilas that he had a small hole in his patellar tendon. The doctor was surprised that Bilas was able to play with this injury. Bilas says that he should have said something earlier. He said that he should have spoken up about it before he did. Bilas says "I felt like I was being tough, and taking one for the team by playing on an injured knee. But I wasn't. I wasn't smart enough to listen to my body, and do discuss my injury honestly with the medical staff." Bilas' distinction between being "foolish" and being "tough" is important. We need to be tough, but we need to speak up when something is wrong. This is true in sports and in life.
Bilas cites Grant Hill as an example of resilience. He says that Hill battled injuries in the NBA that he tried to overcome. Hill had to change his game and adapt to his situation. Hill did his best to overcome his injuries and remain an good player.
In chapter 10 Bilas deals with "self evaluation." Bilas says "Successful players and teams don't just appraise themselves by records or statistics, but by a standard of excellence that goes beyond a final score. Self-evaluation takes honesty, and the toughest teams and players do not con themselves." Honesty is a part of self evaluation. Athletes need to honestly evaluate their abilities and talents. Athletes need to honestly evaluate where and how they need to improve. Athletes need to appreciate their abilities, while working on their weaknesses. Self evaluation is necessary for an athlete.
Bilas says "I believe that you have to commit to honestly and objectively assessing just how tough you are right now, where you have met your standard and where you have fallen short of it, and you have to address what you need to do, and are willing to do, to consistently meet that standard of toughness.
Bilas' book encourages us to develop toughness in our lives. It also encourages athletes to be tougher in their prospective sports. Bilas discusses some of the elements of inner strength and toughness. He shows how these elements help us to be stronger in life and in athletics. All of the different elements mentioned by Bilas are important and helpful.
Saturday, October 13, 2018
Where do the Yankees go from here?
The New York Yankees won 100 regular season games in 2018. They won a one game wild card game against the Oakland Athletics. However, they were unable to defeat the Boston Red Sox in the divisional championship series. The 2018 season was not a failure, but it was a disappointment. A team that came within one game of the World Series in 2017, was not able to reach the American League Championship Series.
The Yankees have not won a World Series since 2009. For the 9th straight year the Fall Classic will not involve the Bronx Bombers.
The Yankees have a strong and young core in place. Third baseman Miguel Andujar and second baseman Gleybor Torres are rookie of the year candidates. Shortstop Didi Gregorius is a solid defender and hitter. Rightfielder Aaron Judge is one of the game's best hitters. Designated hitter Giancarlo Stanton had a good debut season in pinstripes. First basemen Luke Voight emerged as a force in the Yankee lineup. Aaron Hicks is good player. Luis Severino is a front line starter who should continue to pitch well for New York.
So, the Yankees have a good core that should serve them well next season. However, this season proved that they are not a championship team. So, what do they need to do to become a championship team?
Free agency always presents challenges for teams. How much money should a team spend? What positions should be prioritized? Should a team stay under the luxury tax? These questions face the Yankees as they get ready for the off season.
Free agents Bryce Harper and Manny Machado have been linked to the Yankees. Of course, many free agents are linked to the Yankees because of the team's vast financial resources and their history of success.
Harper is only 26 and he is in the prime of his career. However, he will seek a 10 year contract between 300 to 330 million dollars. That is a hefty price for any player. The Yankees are already strong in the outfield. Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton are among the game's most feared hitters. Both are capable of hitting between 40 and 55 home runs a season. Both have high batting averages. Additionally, the Yankees have Aaron Hicks who has played well for the team. Judge, Stanton and Hicks have all battled injuries, but so has Harper.
Harper does not seem like a need, but a luxury. Stanton is not sure thing because of his susceptibility to injury that he displayed with the Miami Marlins. However, the Yankees are committed to 9 more years with Stanton. They have made a long term lucrative commitment to the slugger. Additionally, Judge, will seek an expensive pay day when he becomes a free agent. How much money do the Yankees want to invest in the outfield? Unless they traded Stanton to the Los Angeles Dodgers, his preferred trade destination when he was with the Marlins, it makes little sense to sign Harper.
Machado is a good player as well who is also in his prime. Like Harper, Machado is reportedly seeking a 10 year deal in the 300 million dollar range. Machado has said that he would prefer to play short stop, however, the Yankees have Didi Gregorius at the short stop position. The Yankees would either have to part ways with Gregorius or ask Machado to move to third base if they signed him. However, if they did this, they would have to part ways with Miguel Andujar who just completed a stellar rookie campaign. Conceivably, they could get good players for either Andujar or Gregorius. This depends on how foundational the Yankees think Andujar or Gregorius is. Are they definitely a part of the Yankees as they move forward? Or do they want to add Machado, and deal either Andujar or Gregorius for prospects or major league players. This is a decision that Brian Cashman and the Yankee front office need to make.
If the Yankees show serious interest in Harper and Machado, it is unlikely that the team could sign both. However, with the Yankees nothing can be ruled out.
The Yankees have a team option on Brett Gardner. The Yankees can pick up Gardner's option for 11 million dollars. Gardner has been the Yankees' primary base stealer for several years. However, Gardner turns 35 next season, and his speed will decline. Garner is a solid player, and along with CC Sabathia, one of the two remaining players from the 2009 World Series Championship. He has spent his entire career with the Yankees. Perhaps the Yankees pick up his option in order to add to their depth in the outfield and retain Gardner's veteran presence in the clubhouse. However, the Yankees could also decline the option and bring up an outfielder from the minor leagues or sign a free agent. This is a decision that the Yankees' front office will have to make during the off season.
Hicks is third year arbitration eligible, which means if the Yankees choose to resign him for one year, they must pay him 4.49 million dollars for 2019. Hicks and the Yankees could also avoid arbitration by signing a short term deal. Hicks has played well for this year. Whether or not the Yankees try and bring him back may depend on who the Yankees sign in free agency and whether or not they pick up Gardner's option.
Andrew McCutchen was a valuable addition to the Yankees for the stretch run. However, they may not be able to find a place for him on next year's team. The Yankees still owe Jacoby Ellsbury 44 million dollars for the next two years. Gardner, Hicks, Judge and Frazier make it a crowded outfield in New York. There simply may not be room for McCutchen, which is too bad because he played well in pinstripes.
The Yankees also need to make a decision on Garry Sanchez. In this past season, Sanchez only hit .186. Two years ago he hit 31 homeruns, while this past season he hit only 18 home runs. He also lead the majors with 18 passed balls. Do the Yankees continue to work with Sanchez on his defense? Do they hope that his hitting ability returns next year? Do they consider trading Sanchez for a good pitcher? If they do part with Sanchez could Austin Romine be a full time catcher? These are some of the questions that the Yankees face at the catching position. Nevertheless, it's likely that the Yankees stick with Sanchez. The organization believes he has a high ceiling and that he has good potential. However, Sanchez is 26 years old. At what point do the Yankees stop talking about potential and start expecting more from Sanchez? It's a tough decision for the Yankees, but they will probably stick with Sanchez as the every day catcher.
Additionally, the Yankees need to think about who will be next year's first baseman. Greg Bird has played three injury plagued seasons for the Yankees. He has not hit as well as they thought he would. Over his first three seasons, Bird has played in 46,48 and 82 games. He has not hit more than 11 home runs in a season and he has not driven in more than 38 runs in a single campaign. His batting average was .261 during his rookie season, but has declined to .190 and .199 the past two seasons. These numbers are unacceptable for a first baseman.
Conversely, in a short time, Luke Voight has emerged as a good hitter for New York. Do the Yankees open up the position to competition in next year's spring training? Do Bird and Voight compete for the position? Do they begin next season in a platoon situation? Do the Yankees think outside of the box and consider signing Harper to move to first base? These are some of the questions that the Yankees have at the first base position.
If the Yankees are going to compete with the Red Sox and the Astros next year, they need to improve their pitching. Patrick Corbin and Dallas Keuchel are the best two free agent pitchers available. The Yankees should consider signing one or both of them.
Corbin was 11-7 with an ERA of 3.15 and a WHIP of 1.05. Corbin struck out 246 batters this past season. Corbin throws sliders, sinkers and fastballs. He does not have an overwhelming fastball. He usually pitches between 80 and 90 miles per hour. Once in a while, he throws a change up. Corbin is an upstate New York native who grew up rooting for the Yankees. He would appear to be a good fit in pinstripes.
Luis Severino will return as the team's ace or at least as a front line starter. Severino was the team's best starting pitcher this past season. He was 19-8 with an ERA of 3.39. His WHIP was 1.14 and opponents batted .238 against him. He lead the team in strikeouts with 220. Severino is a valuable member of the rotation. The Yankees need to acquire pitchers of similar talent to compete with Houston and Boston.
Severino is eligible for arbitration over the off season. Will the Yankees offer Severino a long term deal or will they let the case go to arbitration? If they let the case go to arbitration, the Yankees and Severino should be able to figure out a middle ground. Or the Yankees and Severino could agree to a contract of about 40 million for four years. Severino may want to wait until he is a free agent to sign a more lucrative contract for more years. Either way, the Yankees and Severino should be able to work things out.
Masihiro Tanaka is the team's second best starting pitcher. He has not been an ace, however, he has been an effective pitcher since he signed a 7 year 157 million dollar deal with the Yankees. He has completed 5 of those years. He is signed for two more years for 45 million dollars.
Tanaka is 64-34 with a 3.59 ERA in five seasons with New York. The Yankees hope that he can continue to pitch effectively the last two years of his contract.
J.A. Happ was acquired by the Yankees from the Toronto Blue Jays during this past season. He is a free agent. The Yankees may be interested in signing Happ to a short term deal during the offseasosn. Happ, a left hander, pitched well for New York in 2018. Overall, between Toronto and New York, Happ went 17-6 with a 3.65 ERA in 2018. With New York, he went 7-0 with an ERA of 2.69 and a WHIP of 1.05. He helped the Yankees secure home field advantage for the wild card game. If Happ and New York can agree to a short term contract, then he may return to the Yankees in 2019.
CC Sabathia just completed his ninth season in pinstripes. Sabathia and Gardner are the only two players who remain from the 2009 championship team. David Robertson also played on the 2009 championship team. However, he was traded by the Yankees and eventually reacquired by the team.
Sabathia pitched well for New York in 2008. Sabathia started 29 games for the Bronx Bombers. He went 9-7 with an ERA of 3.65 and a WHIP of 1.31. He pitched game four of the ALDS. The Yankees could offer Sabathia a one year deal to stay with the team. However, the Yankees may choose to not re sign Sabathia. The Yankees may instead choose to sign a couple of free agent pitchers, sign Happ or bring up a minor league pitcher to join the Yankee rotation. It's possible that Sabathia may conclude his career with another team. Sabathia has said that he wants to play next year. However, it may not be in New York.
If Sabathia has played his last game in the Bronx, he will leave behind many memories. He has been a good pitcher for New York for close to a decade. He has been a valuable member of the Yankees' rotation. He has been a true work horse and a consistent hurler for the Yankees. He has earned a lot of respect in his 9 years in pinstripes.
Minor league prospect Justin Sheffield is a candidate for the starting rotation for next year. Sheffield was acquired by the Yankees in the deal that sent Andrew Miller to Cleveland. Sheffield is a 23 year old left handed pitcher who is considered the Yankees' number one prospect. Sheffield has pitched well in the minor leagues. Last year, he spent time with Trenton and Scranton. With double A Trenton, he went 1-2 with a 2.25 ERA. He struck out 39 and walked 14 batters. With triple A Scranton, Sheffield went 6-4 with an ERA of 2.56. He struck out 84 batters and walked 36. He could be ready to join the Yankees' rotation in the spring. At the very least, Sheffield could join the Yankees if a starter gets injured.
Sheffield's fast ball is between 92 and 97 miles per hour. He also has a good sinkerball and a good slider. He has a change up as well. Sheffield has a good repertoire of pitches. He can continue to improve all four of his pitches as he hopes to join the Yankees' rotation in 2019.
Keuchel is 12-11 with a 3.74 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. He struck out 157 batters this season. Keuchel's major pitch is his sinker. However, he also throws sliders, fastballs and change ups. His pitches vary from 80 to 90 miles per hour.
The Yankees had a decent bullpen. Aroldis Chapman was a good closer who finished with 32 saves. Chapman had a 2.45 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP. Opponents batted only .136 against him. He will return as the team's closer. He is signed through 2021 at 17.2 million per year.
Dillon Betances will likely return as the set up man. Betances was 4-6 this year with a 2.70 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP. Opponents batted .186 against him. Betances is up for arbitration in 2019 and is a free agent in 2020. The Yankees can sign Betances to a short term contract or take their chances in arbitration. Betances is a solid set up man who has been a reliable member of the bull pen.
Chad Green was another effective member of the Yankees' bull pen. Green was 8-3 with a 2.50 ERA and a WHIP of 1.04. Opponents hit .229 against him. Green is scheduled for pre arbitration in 2019 and arbitration in 2020. Players who are elible for pre arbitration can be signed for the league minimum salary, which is 570,000 annually. The Yankees should keep Green on the roster. If Green and the Yankees cannot agree on a yearly contract or short term deal, New York should renew his contract for the league minimum. He has been too reliable for the team to be let go.
Zach Britton was a good late season addition. While with the Yankees, the left hander was 1-0 with a 2.88 ERA and a WHIP of 1.16. Opponents batted .196 against him. The Yankees should consider signing Britton to a one year deal. Britton provides a reliable left handed option out of the pen. He can be a left handed specialist or a pitcher that can come in for one inning to provide the team support.
A.J. Cole was 3-1 with a 4.26 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP. Opponents batted .258 against him. Cole does strike out a lot of batters. He struck out 49 batters in 38 innings. However, his ERA is too high. The Yankees could find someone better than Cole.
David Robertson is a free agent. Robertson returned to the Yankees last season after spending an earlier stint with the team. Robertson was a valuable member of the Yankees bullpen. Roberton was 8-3 with an ERA of 3.23. His WHIP was 1.03, which was the lowest WHIP among all pitchers on the Yankees roster this season. Robertson is a free agent, whom the Yankees should try to sign to a one or two year deal. Robertson made 13 million for this past season. The Yankees should see if they could sign him for less money, but they should still express their interest to Robertson. He was a valuable member of their bullpen this past season.
Aaron Boone will return as manager. Before this season, Boone had no managerial or coaching experience. Boone was hired because Cashman felt that the Yankee clubhouse needed a manager who communicated better to the players. Boone was criticized for sticking too long with Severino and Sabathia in games 3 and 4 of the ALDS. Both did not pitch well, and some observers thought that they needed to be replaced sooner by the bullpen.
Boone seemed to have done a decent job in his inaugural season. He appears to be a good manager. Next year, he will try and get the Yankees to the World Series.
As Boston and Houston get ready to play the American League Championship Series, the Yankees prepare for an offseason. The Yankees' front office will figure out how to improve their team as they prepare for the 2019 season. They have many questions to answer. How they answer those questions may determine if the Yankees can make it further in the playoffs next season.
Saturday, October 6, 2018
The complete game has become an artifact in modern day baseball
In 1975, Jim "Catfish" Hunter, of the New York Yankees threw 30 complete games. In 1980, Rick Langford, of the Oakland A's threw 28 complete games. In 2018, in contrast to Hunter and Lankford, 6 pitchers lead the league in complete games with only 2. The last time that anyone pitched at least 10 complete games was 1999 when Randy Johnson finished 12 games for the Arizona Diamondbacks. The complete game has become an artifact in professional baseball.
Will White pitched a record 75 complete games for Cincinnati in 1879. Old Hoss Radbourn completed 73 games for Providence in 1879. In 1883, Pud Galvin went the distance 72 times for Buffalo. From 1876 to 1979 it was commonplace for the best starting pitchers to pitch complete games. In the 1980's it became less of an expectation. The game started to become more specialized as teams relied on relief pitchers. Eventually, things became even more specialized as each relief pitcher accepted a specific role out of the bullpen. Some pitchers became middle relievers, while others became set up men or closers. Still others became left handed specialists who were expected to get left handed batters out.
Cy Young threw 749 complete games, which is the most in history. Galvin threw 646 complete games. Tim Keefe completed 554 games and Kid Nichols threw 532 complete games. Walter Johnson threw 531 complete games. CC Sabbathia and Bartolo Colon lead active players with 58 career complete games.
In 1952 Robin Roberts threw 28 consecutive complete games to end the season. He began the 1953 season with 22 straight complete games. In 1980, Langford completed 22 consecutive games.
Tyler Kepner points out that three pitchers have won CY Young awards without throwing a complete game during there award winning season. Max Scherzer(2013), Jake Peavy (2007) and Roger Clemens (2001 and 2004) each won CY Young Awards despite not going the distance once during their award winning season.
Kepner points out that "Teams are increasingly careful with pitchers' workloads, and pitchers rarely exceed 125 pitches per outing." Kepler says that in 1993, "there were 304 instances of a pitcher throwing 125 pitches in a game." However, in 2013 there were only 14 such cases. Kepler points that Scherzer did not have one game where he pitched 125 innings in 2013.
Although, teams routinely try and keep pitchers from throwing more than 100 games, in 1984, Nolan Ryan threw 235 pitches in a 13 inning game for the California Angels against the Boston Red Sox. During the same game, Luis Tiant, of the Red Sox pitched all 15 innings. The Angels won 4-3, and Tiant got the loss despite pitching all 15 innings.
In 1997, the Braves' Greg Maddux needed only 76 pitches to throw a complete game against the Chicago Cubs- his former team. Maddux was very efficient that day. He threw only 13 balls. So, 63 of his 76 pitches were thrown over the plate. He had 6 strikeouts and limited the Cubs to only one run. Mike Oz of Yahoo Sports points out that "Aaron Cook threw a 74 pitch complete game for the Rockies in 2007 and Carlos Silva also went 74 pitches for the Twins in 2005." Such efficiency is rare. Most pitchers need many more pitches to throw a complete game. If pitchers could be as efficient as Maddux was that day, than complete games would be more common.
The complete game has simply become more rare today. Peter Gammons makes the following points. He says that between 1950-59, 328 pitchers threw at least 10 complete games in a season. Between 1960-69, 313 pitchers threw at least 10 complete games in a season. Between 1970-79, 382 pitchers threw at least 10 complete games in a season. Between 1980-89, 154 pitchers threw at least 10 complete games in a season. Between 1990-99, only 27 pitchers threw at least 10 complete games in a season. Between 2000-13, James Shields threw 11 complete games in 2011 and CC Sabathia threw 10 complete games in 2008. They are the last two pitchers to throw at least 10 complete games in a season. There has simply been a steady decline in the number of complete games thrown by major league pitchers.
Today pitchers rarely go nine innings. Teams have too much money invested in pitchers. So, they try and conserve their arms. Today's game is more specialized as well. Teams have middle relievers, set up men and closers. The bullpen is a big part of a team today. However, the biggest reason for the decline in complete games is the pitch count.
Teams often take a pitcher out after 100 pitches. Whether or not 100 pitches in an arbitrary number or not is debatable. Some doctors say that pitchers begin to tire after 100 pitches, so it makes sense to take them out of the game before they do damage to their arms.
Dieter Kurtenbach of FoxSports says "How did we come to decide that 100 pitches were too many? Well, it seems that the number was arbitrary...There's no data to suggest that 100 is the magic number of fatigue, after which injuries increase at an alarming rate.There's no information that's been collected that labels the 100th pitch as a saturation point of effectiveness either." So, according to Kurtenbach, there is nothing magical about the number 100. A player does not suddenly become fatigued after throwing his 100th pitch.
However, the likelihood of injury increases the more a pitcher throws. So, with each pitch after 100, a pitcher's chances of being injured grows. The number 100 may have been established for a good reason. Kurtenbach says "Baseball Prospectus has a metric, called Pitcher Abuse Points, that aims to quantify pitchers' overexertion. But in order to establish what exertion is, there has to be a baseline. That threshold? You guessed it: PAP operated under the assumption that fatigue set in at 100 pitches. Under 100 pitches, the metric claims, and there's no stress. For every pitch thrown after number 100, the stress compounds at a factor of three." So, every pitch after 100 may increase the likelihood that a pitcher may get injured. Throwing a baseball is stressful. With each pitch that stress could increase. So, trying to keep a pitcher at or below 100 pitches is a reasonable goal.
Nevertheless, not everyone believes that pitch counts help pitchers avoid injuries. John Bradbury and Sean Forman did a study in 2012 that was published in the The Journal of Strength and Conditioning Research, which was entitled "The Impact of Pitch Counts and Days of Rest on Performance Among Major League Baseball Pitchers." The study concluded that "Although the belief that overuse can harm pitchers is widespread, there exists little evidence to show that the number of pitches thrown and the days of rest affect future performance and injury among adults."
While Bradbury and Forman found no connection between the number of pitches thrown in a game and injury, they did find that "each pitch thrown in the proceeding game increased earned run average by 0.007 in the following game. Bradbury and Forman also found that "each pitch averaged in the preceding game 5 and 10 games increased the ERA by 0.014 and 0.022, respectively." This suggests that as the season wears on, starting pitchers become slightly less effective. There appears to be a cumulative effect on the pitcher's performance. Understandably, Bradbury and Forman found that the performance of older pitchers were effected the most.
While many focus on one game, Bradbury and Forman found that "the impact of the cumulative pitching load is larger than the impact on a single game." The arms of starting pitchers were most effected by the length of the season more than by the number of pitchers thrown in a single game.
Obviously, the findings of Bradbury and Forman are not definitive. It's very possible that some pitchers are adversely effected by a large number of pitches thrown in a single game. Every pitcher is different. Each person's body responds differently to stress and work.
Velocity and bad mechanics could also lead to injuries. Pitching puts stress on the arm, and if the mechanics are bad or if someone throws fast consistently, that could lead to injury as well. Jonah Keri of grantland.com points out that "velocity is a factor. All things being equal, throwing 95 miles per hour is more stressful than throwing 90. But throwing 95 miles per hour with good mechanics is less stressful than throwing 90 miles per hour with bad mechanics. Throwing 95 miles per hour with proper rest is less dangerous than throwing 90 miles per hour without rest." So, Keri emphasizes the importance of good mechanics and proper rest. Theoretically, good mechanics and proper rest could help a pitcher avoid injury even if he was throwing fast.
The myriad of different perspectives show that there are multiple factors that determine whether a pitcher can avoid injury. Pitchers need to get the proper rest for their arms, observe good mechanics and throw at a velocity that is appropriate for their arm strength.
Pitching is an unnatural motion that puts strain on the elbow. Injuries to pitchers may come from how hard pitchers throw rather than the number of pitches that they throw. Pitchers throw harder today than they did in the past. That could explain why some pitchers get injured. For instance, for two years in a row Boston's Chris Sale has struggled in the second half of the season. For two consecutive years Sale has spent time on the disabled list. Sale is a hard thrower whose injuries may have come from the speed of his pitches.
Sometimes has pitchers age they are encouraged to develop another approach to pitching. For instance, pitchers may have to develop another pitch and rely less on their fastball. CC Sabathia and Andy Pettite adjusted their pitching style at the end of their careers for the New York Yankees.
Sometimes knuckle ball pitchers such as Tim Wakefield, Charlie Hough and others were able to pitch into their 40's because the knuckle ball does not require a lot of speed. A knuckle ball pitcher puts less strain on his arm because he relies on an off speed pitch rather than a fastball. The knuckle ball pitch "floats" to the plate. It is difficult for a batter to time a knuckle ball pitch.
Doctors, general managers and field managers are learning more every year about how to keep pitchers healthy. Keeping pitchers healthy is not an exact science. There are many variable involved. Starting pitchers need a certain amount of rest in between starts and need to adjust their velocity if their arms are getting tired.
The focus on pitcher's health has made the complete game an artifact in baseball. It's unlikely that the complete game will ever become commonplace again. However, what is rare is more valuable. So, as the complete game becomes more rare, it becomes more meaningful when it does occur.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)